The prediction of criminal and violent recidivism among mentally disordered offenders: A meta-analysis. Hogan 1Christine L. Note: Extra-familial child molesters had only unrelated victims less than 14 years old. The authors wish to acknowledge that some aspects of the decision to use ordinal risk ratings in this study, and the manner in which we defined and compared the categories, could be debated.
This included contact and non-contact offences, as well as sexual offences involving consenting adults e. The reason for the lower validity in these groups is unknown, and the results need to be replicated before firm conclusions can be made.
Conclusions: The results suggested that application of the new system to guide resource allocation could result in a substantial increase in resource outlay, and the number of individuals referred for interventions. Toward a comprehensive theory of child sexual abuse: A theory knitting perspective.
The nature and extent of the impacts of this advancement, both positive and negative, largely remain to be determined.
Alabama may have more current or accurate information. InHarris and colleagues found that, under optimum conditions, an accuracy of about. We make no warranties or guarantees about the accuracy, completeness, or adequacy of the information contained on this site or the information linked to on the state site.
Olver is the co-developer of the Violence Risk Scale-Sexual Offender version VRS-SO and provides training and consultation services internationally in the assessment and treatment of sexual, violent, and dynamic sex offender risk assessments in Alabama offenders.
In replication studies, the accuracy of prediction as indexed by the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic or, equivalently, the common language effect size is about. Prior to his academic appointment, Dr.
The items can be scored from complete institutional files or from files dynamic sex offender risk assessments in Alabama interviews but note that external corroboration of offender self-report is important.
Interactive Power Program [Computer software]. Examination of the results suggested that a significant minority of the officers had given insufficient weight to offence history in their judgement of deviant interests e. Prospective risk studies with sexual offenders are difficult because the expected base rate of recidivism is low.